Are Private Equity Returns Overstated?

Top quartile private equity performance is something every institutional fund aspires to. Of course, every single PE fund claims to be top quartile, which would seem to be mathematically impossible. David Swensen and his team at Yale have put together one of the most enviable track records in this space. This passage comes from the…

Surviving the Next Downturn

My colleague Josh Brown had an excellent piece in the most recent Fortune Magazine that asked a simple, yet loaded question: Are You Ready for the Next Bear Market? As we’ve seen from the seemingly never-ending market crash predictions over the past few years, no one really knows when the next bear market will hit….

Satisfying Your Activity Addiction

A reader asks: Is it ok to take 5 (or 10) percent of my portfolio and go crazy? I.e. Trade biotech stocks, one stock, options, or pork bellies, or SPX futures to satisfy my activity addiction. Before I give my thoughts on this subject, I think it makes sense to dig into the psychology behind…

Goals-Based Investing

One of the biggest problems with the way many financial firms operate is that they prescribe before they diagnose. They first create a product or portfolio and then try to convince people to invest in it. They try to make a sale without first gaining an understanding of their potential client’s circumstances. It’s completely backwards….

Move to the Beach and Live Off the Interest?

In nearly every heist movie from the 80s and 90s, the bad guys would always talk about stealing enough money to find a place on the beach and live off the interest. Here’s a classic from Hans Gruber in Die Hard (h/t Meb Faber): “Sitting on a beach, earning 20%” isn’t going to happen these…

The Difference Between a Portfolio Manager & Portfolio Management

Earlier this year Michael Santoli asked a number of bloggers what we ‘know’ about investing but can’t prove with stats. This was one of my responses: Supremely intelligent investors are well suited to run a fund but not an entire portfolio. I’d rather have an Ivy Leaguer run a hedge fund for me than a portfolio….

Misconceptions About Individual Bonds vs. Bond Funds

Investors have been nervous about the possibility of rising interest rates for a number of years now. Since bond prices fall as interest rates rise, this possibility has many investors worried about their exposure to interest rate risk. A common refrain on reducing this risk that I have heard many times over the years goes…

One Year Returns Don’t Tell You Anything

There was a scary chart flying around a couple months ago showing how basically no asset class was working for investors. These numbers, provided by James Picerno at The Capital Speculator, showed that every major asset class or category showed a negative one year return through early September: This was pretty crazy — stocks, bonds…

The Importance of Continuity in Portfolio Management

The Ivy League endowment funds are some of the most closely watched institutional funds in the world. Whether they’re equipped or not, nearly every other institutional quality fund is trying to replicate what the best and brightest Ivies are doing in their portfolios. With this spotlight comes praise, but also scrutiny.