Slack is a lot like Twitter from my vantage point. It’s a service I use all the time. It’s become an integral part of my life from both a work and social perspective. Every time I talk to someone else who uses the service they share my love for the platform. And it’s almost impossible to explain its usefulness…
A Bad Year in the Bond Market is a Bad Day in the Stock Market
A podcast listener asks: I was hoping you could try and explain the bond bubble risk. A third of my portfolio is in a Vanguard bond fund. If there is a bubble, what could I stand to lose in % terms? Here’s a short video Michael and I did on this one: The idea that…
What a Strange Round Trip It’s Been
Well that was pretty quick. Since peaking in late-September the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) now has a slightly positive total return, wiping out a nearly 20% loss: It’s hard to believe how quickly sentiment in the market can go from “the world is coming to an end and a recession has already started” to “everything’s…
Recessions vs. Bear Markets
It may not feel like it after living through the Great Recession but the U.S. economy has become far more stable over time. Just look at the inflation rate over the past 100 plus years: And the contraction in GDP in each of the past 15 recessions: The Great Recession was an epic financial crisis…
Animal Spirits Episode 77: Money Made By Chance
This week’s Animal Spirits with Michael & Ben is sponsored by YCharts: Mention Animal Spirits and receive 20% off your subscription price when you initially sign up for the service. We discuss: Why dividends don’t matter as much as they used to for the stock market The guy who bet $85k to win $1.2 million on Tiger winning…
The Stephen A. Smiths of Personal Finance
It was reported earlier this month that Stephen A. Smith is in line to become the highest paid on-air talent in ESPN history when he signs his new contract. He could earn between $8 to $10 million a year. People on the Internet love to point out how wrong Smith’s takes can be at times….
Why We’ll Never All Be Happy Again
There are two things people need to understand about humanity: (1) Things are unquestionably getting better over time. (2) People assume things are unquestionably getting worse over time. I love this chart from Our World in Data: This data doesn’t quite jibe with how happy people report they feel today. You can see the trend…
Prudent Risk Management or Market Timing in Disguise?
A podcast listener asks: I work at a pension fund steadily losing performance chasing members (we were positioned too conservatively through the bull market) – and now the investment committee wants to be more “peer-aware”. I tend to think now is not the time to make a more aggressive allocation, but part of me also…
The Life Cycle of Wealth
In his book The Ages of the Investor, William Bernstein describes a mythical employer named Uncle Fred who offers investors a retirement savings scheme determined by the flip of the coin. One side of the coin results in a +30% annual gain while the other side gives you a -10% loss in a given year. Since the…
Animal Spirits Episode 76: Money Makes Money
This week’s Animal Spirits with Michael & Ben is sponsored by YCharts: Mention Animal Spirits and receive 20% off your subscription price when you initially sign up for the service. We discuss: Is the retirement crisis overblown? Or is it worse than most people assume? What do we do today that will seem crazy in 50 years? Pay…
