Everyone remembers game one of last year’s NBA Finals between Golden State and Cleveland as the JR Smith game. After rebounding a missed free throw with just under 5 seconds left Smith dribbled out the clock, not realizing the Cavs weren’t winning but rather tied with the Warriors. This picture of LeBron’s dismay with Smith…
Animal Spirits Episode 51: The Healthy Correction
On this week’s Animal Spirits with Michael & Ben we discuss: The recent market turbulence. Maybe 401ks won’t provide a floor under the market. The problem with 401k loans. The rise and fall of Sears. How Buffett predicted Eddie Lampert’s struggles with Sears 10 years ago. The similarities between Sears and Amazon. The impact of…
The Worst Kind of Bear Market
On a recent episode of his show, Behind the Markets, WisdomTree’s Jeremy Schwartz made a comment about a stat from one of Jeremy Seigel’s books. He discussed how in real terms, bonds in the U.S. have actually experienced a much longer bear market than anything witnessed in the stock market. This makes sense when you…
Advice For Young People Trying to Break Into The Finance Industry
A reader asks: I am considering starting the CFA program now while in my last year of college and then taking the level 1 exam right after graduating. My question for you is, price of the program and exam aside, do you think there is a benefit to getting started while in college so that…
Who Benefits From a Market Correction?
Jerry Seinfeld is the ultimate “it’s funny because it’s true” comedian. His night guy vs. morning guy slays because this is me all the time: We all have competing ideas and beliefs in our heads on a regular basis. Enjoying yourself in the present vs. delaying gratification for the future. Working hard vs. playing hard. Your…
Big Down Days
Yesterday the S&P 500 fell 3.29%. It was the worst single-day loss since early February when stocks fell 3.75%. Looking back at the daily returns on the S&P 500 since the fall of 1928 shows stocks have seen 325 days with losses of 3% or worse. That means it happens roughly three-and-a-half times a year…
Animal Spirits Episode 50: A Committee of Geniuses
On this week’s Animal Spirits with Michael & Ben we discuss: How social media has changed financial media for the better. The humble beginnings of this podcast. The case for investing in bonds. More hedge fund closures. Julian Robertson’s poor timing. Your adult children are killing your retirement savings. The Bernank and why so many people misunderstood…
The Case For Bonds
In my last piece we looked at how things are going in the bond market. In summation — rates are up and bonds are down. There are plenty of market prognosticators who are more informed than me predicting interest rates will rise further from here. The 10-year treasury yield currently stands at 3.3% or so. I’ve seen…
Checking in on Bond Market Losses
Interest rates are up quite a bit since bottoming in the summer of 2016. Here’s the 10-year yield since then: This is still a blip on the long-term chart but that’s an increase of almost 2% in a little over 2 years. We finally have that rising rate environment everyone has been clamoring for since…
You Never Know
Steve Martin once described his 18-year stand-up career as, “Ten of those years were spent learning, four years were spent refining, and four were spent in wild success.” In the late-1970s and early-1980s, Martin was perhaps the most popular stand-up act in the world but it almost didn’t happen. He made a promise to himself…
