In the fall of 1981 the yield on 30 year U.S. Treasury bonds hit 15%. Fifteen percent! For 30 years! One million dollars invested at that time would have been paying out $150,000 a year in interest for 3 decades.1 Can you imagine how much demand there would be for bonds yielding 15% for that long…
Balancing bear markets and compounding in the stock market.
On today’s show, we discuss why people still invest in stocks even when bond rates are high, international stocks are on a tear, the 60/40 argument that never dies, the Fed vs. the bond market, record high dividends in the stock market, why it’s so hard to predict bottoms, Michael’s NY Giants playoff game experience & much more.
Some takeaways from a terrible year in the markets.
On today’s show, we are joined by Fran Rodilosso, Head of Fixed Income ETF Portfolio Management at VanEck to discuss rising stars vs fallen angels, how to be tactical with fixed income, what a fallen angel is, and much more!
Some people might think it’s bizarre that turning the page on the calendar should matter to investors. Why do investment professionals care about the end of a month, quarter or year? These periods do seem arbitrary but the changing of the calendar from one year to the next offers a good chance for market nerds…
What happens if we get a soft landing?
Why dividends are more important than you think for stock market returns.
On today’s show, we discuss Michael becoming famous for a Bezos prediction, the case for no recession in 2023, the bullish case for stocks, the bearish case for stocks, false signals from an inverted yield curve, why this is not 1970s-like inflation, 2023 movies and much more.
Market performance after the worst years in history for stocks, bonds and a diversified portfolio.
