Search Results for: "10 year return"

Animal Spirits: 10,000 Day Traders

This week’s Animal Spirits with Michael & Ben is supported by YCharts: Mention Animal Spirits and receive 20% off your subscription price when you initially sign up for the service. We discuss: New all-time lows for mortgage rates Why buying a home is cheaper than most people realize Where did the 30 year mortgage come from? Will real…

Low Bond Returns Are Nothing New

Government bond yields remain unbelievably low across the maturity spectrum: The correlation between starting yields and future long-term returns is very high, meaning you can use these rates as a decent approximation of forward bond returns. In other words, don’t expect much from the bond portion of your portfolio. When you compare today’s yields with…

My New Theory About Future Stock Market Returns

At the lows, the S&P 500 was off roughly 34% from its highs. From those lows it’s now up almost 25%. This is confusing to many investors for a number of reasons: The economy is still effectively shut down for the foreseeable future The unemployment numbers continue to worsen as jobless claims in the past…

Returns From the Bottom of Bear Markets

We are now in the 13th worse bear market since the late-1920s with losses just shy of 30%. It would take another 15% drop from here to get to a 40% loss. It would take another 30% drop from here to get to a 50% loss. I don’t know if this is going to happen and neither…