Some lessons from the 2023 financial markets.
Ben Carlson
The Best Time to Buy Stocks
Buying stocks after they go up and selling stocks after they go down.
Is an AI Stock Market Bubble Inevitable?
Thinking through the potential market outcomes from an AI boom.
The Stock Market is Not a Casino
Do international stocks have the same win rates as the U.S. stock market?
How to Live a Rich Life
An interview with Ramit Sethi about his new Netflix show How to Get Rich.
The Stock Market Usually Goes Up (But Sometimes it Goes Down)
How often does the stock market crash?
What’s the Best Long-Term Investment?
Better long-term investment: stocks, gold or real estate?
Time to Prepare Your Portfolio For a U.S. Government Default?
How worries about a government default could impact stocks and bonds.
Paper Bears
If everything is so bad why are most people happy?
Roughly Right or Precisely Wrong
I have a love-hate relationship with historical market data. On the one hand, since we can’t predict the future, calculating probabilities from the past in the context of the present situation is our only hope when it comes to setting expectations for financial markets. On the other hand, an overemphasis on historical data can lead…