It feels like people have been worried about the next recession every day since the last one was over. I get it. Recessions aren’t fun. But you can’t constantly remain in the fetal position simply because you know the economy and markets eventually have a downside. Here’s a piece I wrote for Fortune to provide…
Search Results for: "benchmark"
You Probably Can’t Use the Yield Curve to Time the Market
Why recession indicators don’t necessarily work as stock market indicators.
Who Has the Most Impressive Investment Track Record?
Why Warren Buffett has the greatest track record of any investor.
The Work Required to Behave in the Markets
“Stay the course” and “ignore the noise” sound like great advice but there’s a lot of work involved to follow through with this advice.
Animal Spirits: A Single Push-Up
Michael and Ben discuss why movie comedies are dying, how Netflix is changing entertainment, online savings accounts and much more.
Interest Rate Chasing in Your Savings Account
Yesterday I got an email from Marcus, my online savings account. They lowered the interest rate on my savings (and everyone else’s) from 2.25% to 2.15%. I heard stories from people who use other savings accounts that also saw a drop. These online savings accounts are obviously getting ahead of the possible Fed rate cut…
David Swensen & a Target Date Fund Walk Into a Bar
Morningstar’s John Rekenthaler shared a wild statistic about Yale’s endowment fund in a piece published yesterday: The fund’s reputation, however, owes to its earlier accomplishments. In the 10 years from mid-2008 through mid-2018 (the latter being the date of the fund’s most recent report), Yale gained an annualized 7.4%. During that same time period, the…
The Difference
My friends in New York love to point out there’s a difference between a slice of pizza in the Big Apple and a slice of pizza everywhere else in the world. I’ve always been of the opinion that pizza is almost always good no matter where it’s from but after sampling some pizza in New…
How Hard is it to Become a 401(k) Millionaire?
The current retirement system leaves much to be desired. There are a decent number of people taking advantage of tax-deferred savings vehicles but it’s a fairly small number that ever reaches millionaire status in these accounts. In Fidelity’s defined contribution plan, there are roughly 157,000 people who have saved at least $1 million in their 401(k). There…
Economic Growth Heading Into a Recession
A reader asks: I’ve heard ad nauseam that we are in the late innings of the expansion, but also that since we are at near 3% GDP, it is unlikely for us to quickly go into negative GDP growth and a recession. Would a certain level of GDP make it unlikely that a recession is…
