Stocks have been on an absolute tear since they bottomed out in 2009: But since the market peaked in early 2000, U.S. stocks haven’t really done much for investors as we’ve gone through a series of booms and busts: On the other hand, interest rates around the globe are at historically low levels: Nevertheless, it’s hard…
Ben Carlson
The Problem With Bond Indexing
The Barclays Aggregate Index is basically the S&P 500 of the bond markets. Formerly the Lehman Brothers Aggregate Index before 2008 (you can thank Dick Fuld for that), the Barclays Agg is the bond index that all total U.S. bond market index funds are benchmarked to for tracking purposes. The biggest bond fund in the…
How Badly Has The Fed Been Punishing Savers?
As discussed a couple weeks ago, it’s been over nine years since the Fed has raised interest rates. ZIRP has also now been in place since late-2008. Anyone who’s tried to earn interest in a money market fund, savings account or CD should understand the impact that these zero interest rate policies have had, as…
A History of Gold Returns
Gold is one of those investments that attracts extreme viewpoints and ideological arguments that favor narratives over substance. I think the reason for this is because the U.S. was once on the gold standard, which was more or less replaced by the Federal Reserve as a form of monetary policy. Anytime politics and government is…
What’s The Biggest Risk Right Now?
One of the outcomes from the recent financial crisis is what I consider to be a hypersensitivity to risk by many investors who were caught flat-footed during the market crash. While managing and understanding risk is one of the most important jobs an investor has, I think many have taken things a step too far…
Luck vs. Skill in Active Management
In a post earlier this week I wrote about famed hedge fund manager Michael Steinhardt’s impressive track record from the late-1960s to the late-1970s. A few readers commented to me that nothing could be discerned from Steinhardt’s track record because it’s nearly impossible to separate luck from skill when making these types of historical performance…
The Chase For Yield Continues
Every retiree’s dream investment is to find safety in principal and earn enough income to not have to touch that principal. In a world of zero percent short-term interest rates, this is easier said than done. These days there’s no such thing as living off the interest income anymore. In the understatement of the year,…
Why Buy & Hold Works
If you sold your stocks the Friday before Lehman went bankrupt, went to cash & stayed there you would have missed out on a gain of 93% — Ben Carlson (@awealthofcs) July 14, 2015 What I failed to mention in this tweet is that in order to earn that 93% gain, an investor would have…
Does CalPERS Need a Simpler Approach?
The following comes from the Los Angeles Times about CalPERS, the nation’s largest public pension plan:
World Class Comedy or Investing: Are They Teachable?
“The stock market is an inexact phenomenon. Laypersons’ opinions often seem as worthy as professionals’, and shoeshine men and brokers compete for genius.” – Michael Steinhardt Jerry Seinfeld and Steve Harvey had an interesting conversation on a recent episode of one of my favorite shows, Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee, about whether comedy is something…