In a post earlier this week I wrote about famed hedge fund manager Michael Steinhardt’s impressive track record from the late-1960s to the late-1970s. A few readers commented to me that nothing could be discerned from Steinhardt’s track record because it’s nearly impossible to separate luck from skill when making these types of historical performance…
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Does CalPERS Need a Simpler Approach?
The following comes from the Los Angeles Times about CalPERS, the nation’s largest public pension plan:
Are Long-Term Bonds Worth the Risk?
A couple weeks I looked at the history of corrections in long-term U.S. treasury bonds. I received a few follow-up questions from people asking for the same information on intermediate bonds for a comparison between the different bond maturities from a risk perspective. The Barclays Aggregate Index, the industry standard for an intermediate bond benchmark,…
How Much International Diversification is Necessary?
A reader asks: Does it make sense to equal weight the Europe and Pacific ETFs as opposed to just buying the entire EAFE index fund? How has this strategy done historically? This is a great question because so many U.S. investors have a home bias within their portfolio and probably don’t spend enough time thinking…
Are Emerging Markets Still An Asset Class?
Mohamed El-Erian, the former PIMCO CEO, wrote a piece for Bloomberg View questioning the merits of emerging markets as an asset class. Before making his argument, El-Erian laid out three characteristics of an asset class, which I’ve paraphrased: The components share similar characteristics (i.e., geography, economic or financial commonalities, etc.) The majority of the components…
Which Active Funds Outperform During Bear Markets?
The latest SPIVA mutual fund scorecard was released last week and it was more of the same from the past few reports — the majority of active mutual funds underperformed their respective benchmarks over the past 1, 3, 5 and 10 year periods. These numbers are well-documented at this point so I’ll spare you the…
Time Horizons & Withdrawal Rates in Retirement
There are now 10,000 baby boomers retiring a day in the U.S. And the projections say another 10,000 are likely to retire every single day for the next 19 years. By my count, that’s roughly 70 million in total. Future retirees are starting to come to grips with this reality. I get at least a…
The Real Risk to a 60/40 Portfolio
A recent Fidelity poll of financial advisors found that their biggest worry right now is rising interest rates over all else. It’s ironic that so many people are worried about rising rates when all rates continue to do is fall. These advisors are not alone as many investors are worried about the future prospects for…
DFA’s Dominance
A few weeks ago I pointed out the fact that Vanguard’s stock funds have had an enviable run of outperformance in relation to their benchmarks. I feel that the active fund industry can learn a lot from Vanguard’s process. In last weekend’s Barron’s there was a table that showed that 3 out of the top…
Putting Passive Inflows Into Context
John Authers from the Financial Times had a great story last weekend on state of the fund management industry. This chart garnered a lot of discussion on social media: