“This is just another of an endless series of experiences over time that have demonstrated that the future of security prices is never predictable.” – Benjamin Graham Some high profile talking heads in the investment industry have been making the case that past averages of profit margins, earnings, P/E ratios and other valuation tools suggest…
Search Results for: "behavior"
The Curious Case of John Hussman: Understanding the Biases in Your Process
“We have no control over outcomes, but we can control the process. Of course, outcomes matter, but by focusing our attention on process we maximize our chances of good outcomes.” – Michael Mauboussin Barry Ritholtz wrote a great column for the Washington Post recently on an important topic that investors must understand to be successful…
On the Merits of Being a Financial Historian
“You can’t predict. You can prepare.” – Howard Marks I received a decent amount of comments and questions on my recent post on the 60/40 portfolio. Some were constructive, but others missed the point so I thought I would take the time to clarify a few things. These are my thoughts on using historical data to…
Are the Wealthy Better Investors?
“Money is not the most important thing in the world. Love is. Fortunately, I love money.” – Jackie Mason
My Favorite Warren Buffett Shareholder Letter
“If you can’t explain it simply, you don’t understand it well enough.” -Albert Einstein I feel that one of the greatest signs of intelligence is the ability to explain complex topics in a plain and simple manner that people can understand. This is what makes Warren Buffett such a genius. That’s not to say that…
Things Just Keep Getting Better and Better for Investors
“Scale coupled with automation can basically bring costs down to zero.” – Herbert Moore Two articles grabbed my attention this week that highlight the fact that things continue to improve for individual investors, specifically on the cost front. The first one came from Larry Swedroe on Seeking Alpha. Swedroe reviewed a recent academic study on…
A Lesson in Diversification and Regret Minimization
“Diversification is always working; sometimes you’ll like the results and sometimes you won’t.” – Larry Swedroe Traders get to use cool sayings like, “let your winners run but cut your losers quickly.” Long-term investors need to periodically do the exact opposite and sell their winners to buy their losers. Mean reversion rests on the premise of…
Your Weekly Reminder of the Greatness of John Bogle & Vanguard
“It is high time for costs to be recognized as a crucial factor in determining the future returns that funds earn.” – John Bogle These are the Vanguard fund performance results against their peer group by category through December 31, 2013 over various time frames: You can see that Vanguard funds outperform the majority of…
Don’t Let Stock Losses Turn You into a Day Trader
“Don’t do something; just stand there.” – Jack Bogle
How Pete Carroll Used Less is More to Win the Super Bowl
“Understand that just as it is complicated to make things simple, it is simple to make things complicated as well.” – Anonymous