“Most organizations are uncomfortable identifying what they will not do. It is not what you are willing to do, but what you will not do that most clearly defines what you really are.” – Charley Ellis When I first got my start in the investment industry I was consumed with figuring out everything there was…
How to Manage Risk When the Market Owes You Nothing
My colleague Michael Batnick wrote a great piece last week that illustrates why investing in the stock market can be so challenging. I encourage you to read the entire piece, but there was one really eye-catching statistic he shared that I wanted to highlight. This chart shows the growth of $1 in the S&P 500, after…
Why Bear Markets Are So Painful
In his book, Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics, Richard Thaler discusses a stock market experiment that says a lot about how people react to losses and their perception of risk: As in the previous experiment, the subjects had only two investment options, a riskier one with higher returns and a safer one with lower returns….
Three Things That Don’t Matter During a Market Sell-Off
A few weeks ago I looked at three things that matter during a market sell-off. This sell-off has continued and investor angst grows. One of the best ways to avoid crippling mistakes during bear markets is to focus on what you can control. Here’s the follow-up with three things that don’t matter during a market…
When Global Stocks Go On Sale
Large cap U.S. equities continue to hold up well with the S&P 500 down roughly 12% from its all-time highs reached last spring. To some degree, this performance has masked the global bear market going on in the rest of the world. Take a look at this list of country ETFs from Bespoke Investment Group:…
Bull Markets vs. Bear Markets
Early in my career I received a very simple, yet powerful piece of advice about the markets: In a bull market you’re not as smart as you think you are and in a bear market you’re not as dumb as you think you are. The problem is that fear and greed don’t always allow us…
The Greatest Bull Market of All-Time?
How many hedge fund managers would kill for the following performance characteristics over a 40 year time frame? Annual Returns: 7.7% Volatility: 6.9% Number of Up Years: 37 Number of Down Years: 3 Annual Win %: 93% Worst Annual Loss: -2.9% Average Annual Loss: -1.9% Max Drawdown: -12.4% On an absolute and risk-adjusted basis these…
The Difference Between Institutional & Individual Investors
I recently had the chance to talk with Aaron Watson on his podcast, Going Deep with Aaron Watson. We touched on a lot of different topics, including the writing process, networking and investing. We also talked about the institutional investment industry. Aaron asked me what I thought some of the similarities and differences are between…
Why Bonds Are So Confusing
The Wall Street Journal shared the results of a survey which shows many investors don’t understand how bond math works:
When Diversification Works
The S&P 500 has outperformed the MSCI World Index each of the past three years and six out of the last eight. This is quite a run when you consider how often U.S. stocks have outperformed the rest of the world’s markets over historically.