Animal Spirits: The Only Game in Town

On today’s show, we discuss debt ceiling drama, the best long-term investment, money market funds, catching a falling knife, 24 hour trading, why workers are happier than ever, the greatest wealth transfer in history, why wealth inequality will get worse, the best new movie we’ve seen in a long time and much more.

Roughly Right or Precisely Wrong

I have a love-hate relationship with historical market data. On the one hand, since we can’t predict the future, calculating probabilities from the past in the context of the present situation is our only hope when it comes to setting expectations for financial markets. On the other hand, an overemphasis on historical data can lead…