Market History

Stock, Bond & Cash Returns Over the Past 95 Years

Each year Aswath Damodaran at NYU kindly updates the annual returns for stocks (S&P 500), bonds (10 year Treasuries) and cash (3-month T-bills) going back to 1928. I love this data because stocks, bonds and cash are the building blocks of asset allocation.1 Sure, you can add other asset classes and strategies but those three…

Why Invest in Stocks When Bond Yields Are Higher?

In the fall of 1981 the yield on 30 year U.S. Treasury bonds hit 15%. Fifteen percent! For 30 years! One million dollars invested at that time would have been paying out $150,000 a year in interest for 3 decades.1 Can you imagine how much demand there would be for bonds yielding 15% for that long…

The Long-Term Wins

Some people might think it’s bizarre that turning the page on the calendar should matter to investors. Why do investment professionals care about the end of a month, quarter or year? These periods do seem arbitrary but the changing of the calendar from one year to the next offers a good chance for market nerds…