Ben Carlson

The Luckiest Generation

Baby boomers are by far one of the wealthiest generations the world has ever seen. The fact that there are more than 70 million people in this demographic helps but it’s also true that this is one of the luckiest generations in history when it comes to returns on financial assets. These are the total…

Do Valuations Even Matter For the Stock Market?

Robert Shiller has a free online database of historical stock market data I’ve been using for years. Going back to 1871, Shiller has data on historical interest rates, dividends, earnings, inflation and valuations. His preferred valuation measure is the cyclically-adjusted price to earnings (CAPE) ratio The average CAPE ratio going back to 1871 is 17.4x…