“Think like an investor and not like an economist or politician.” – Richard Bernstein According to the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), since 1857, the U.S. has experienced 33 recessions that lasted an average of 17 months. That means that there’s been a recession in one out of every five years, on average. In…
Search Results for: "behavior"
Answers to Your Biggest Financial Concerns
“Hire an advisor because it is very hard to see the errors in your own behavior & it is easy to see the errors in someone else’s behavior. Very few people need to hire advisors because of the size of their calculators. They need an advisor to help them behave correctly.” – Carl Richards
William Bernstein on Diversification
“The good news is that in reality, risk and diversification are about what happens over the long haul, not during a punishing downturn like 2007-2009.” – William Bernstein In Skating Where the Puck Was, William Bernstein tackles one of the central tenets of any comprehensive investment plan — diversification. Specifically, Bernstein discusses correlation among the…
The Evolution of Investment Analysis
“The world of finance hails the invention of the wheel over and over again, often in a slightly more unstable version.” – J.K. Galbraith Earlier this week I set out to define ‘This time is different.’ It’s a tough one to explain considering markets are always different because they’re complex, adaptive systems. But it’s never…
Defining ‘This Time is Different’
“The biggest investing errors come not from factors that are informational or analytical, but from those that are psychological.” – Howard Marks In John Templeton’s timeless 16 rules for Investment Success (published in 1933) he states: “The investor who says, ‘This time is different,’ when in fact it’s virtually a repeat of an earlier situation, has…
Maybe Investors Aren’t Always Irrational
“The Prussian General Clausewitz has said, ‘The greatest enemy of a good plan is the dream of a perfect plan.’ And I believe that an index strategy is a good strategy.” – John Bogle
Asset Allocation Quilt
“The most important thing you can have is a good strategic asset allocation mix. So, what the investor needs to do is have a balanced, structured portfolio – a portfolio that does well in different environments….we don’t know that we’re going to win. We have to have diversified bets.” – Ray Dalio This is one of…
2013 Year in Review (Part 2)
Yesterday I posted my investment lessons in the 2013 Year in Review (Part 1). Part 2 is some other odds and ends from the year that was. Enjoy.
2013 Year in Review (Part 1)
“Perseverance is not a long race; it is many short races one after another.” – Walter Elliott These are my investment lessons and takeaways from an interesting year in 2013.
Books For Your New Year’s Resolution
“Simplifying is generally the strategy of people who view the world in terms of systems.” – Scott Adams Every year people make New Year’s resolutions to lose weight, save more, spend less or better their career prospects. According to Forbes, about 8% of these people actually achieve these resolutions. Tracking the drop off in traffic…