July 2014

“Are you bullish or bearish?”

“My interest is in the future because I am going to spend the rest of my life there.” – Charles Kettering Are you bullish or bearish on the market? I get this question a lot. Obviously I have my feelings on the attractiveness of the different stock markets. But in the grand scheme of things,…

The Equal-Weighted Sector S&P 500

“The nature of human psychology is such that you’ll torture reality so that it fits your models, or at least you’ll think it does. To the man with only a hammer, every problem looks like a nail.” – Charlie Munger A few months ago I wrote a post about the S&P 500 sector quilt which…

Investing, Basically

“Perceptions of future stress are felt now.” – Richard Peterson From Richard Peterson’s Inside The Investor’s Brain: Researchers examined the stress responses of two groups of rats after they were subjected to painful electric shocks. Group 1 received painful electric shocks 10 times per hour, while group 2 was shocked 50 times per hour. The…

A Portfolio Premortem

“The only guarantee, ever, is that things will go wrong. The only thing we can use to mitigate this is anticipation.” – Ryan Holiday In the book Obstacle is the Way author Ryan Holiday describes the benefits of the performing a premortem (emphasis mine): In a postmortem, doctors convene to examine the causes of a patient’s…

Book Review: Pragmatic Capitalism

One of the many reasons investors have been so whipsawed by the markets since 2007 is a lack of understanding about the dynamics at work between the financial markets and the economy.

Why (Almost) Everyone Needs a Credit Card

“Credit cards are the crack cocaine of the financial world. They start out as a no-fee way to get instant gratification, but the next thing you know you’re freebasing shoes at Nordstrom.” – Scott Adams One of the first rules of personal finance is to stay out of credit card debt. The average interest rate…