Search Results for: "behavior"

Three Misconceptions About Risk Management

“Risk is the permanent loss of capital, never a number.” – James Montier Risk management is something every investor realized they needed following the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The same thing will happen when the next bear market hits. But too many investors learn the wrong lessons or take misguided advice about how to approach risk….

Lefty’s Placebo Effect

Like many I watched the Master’s golf tournament this past weekend. On Saturday, Phil Mickelson finished the day five under par to set himself up in third place going into the final round. For some reason, in Mickelson’s post-round interview, the CBS analyst asked Phil what his wardrobe plans were for the next day. Mickelson said he…

Doubling Down on Risk

In August of 2007, we had one of the first truly large market dislocations that preceded the financial crisis. All at once, a large group of the biggest quantitatively managed hedge funds all started to get crushed at the same time. In just a couple of weeks, strategies that had worked brilliantly for years stopped…

What Would You Say…You Do Here?

One of the most interesting lines from the new Carl Richards book is when he talks about how hard it is to decipher the many different roles in the financial industry I know of no other industry where it’s harder to figure out who does what. It’s easy to shake your head when you read a…

What Constitutes Long-Term in the Stock Market?

In a research note late last year, AQR’s Cliff Asness described what long-term means when it comes to the markets (emphasis mine): Basically, we know a lot more about volatility than the level of returns over the short term (and remember five years is still pretty short-term). I think we all know this already, and…

What’s Right With Finance

Morgan Housel wrote a great piece this week called What’s Wrong With Finance where he laid out four problems that stem from the fact that finance is strange in so many ways. Here were his four problems: Problem No. 1: Extreme bias toward action, mostly due to exploitative fee arrangements. Problem No. 2: An overuse…

Rooting For a Bear Market?

William Bernstein joined a number of prominent investors by offering a sobering outlook for the future performance prospects on a traditional U.S. stock/bond portfolio: ETF.com: As you take measure of markets, what are the key takeaways right now? Bill Bernstein: Well, I would say that the expected return of a balanced portfolio is the lowest…

My Biggest Investing Mistake

J. Lukas Neely from the Endless Rise Investor has a nice piece up that highlights the mistakes of 13 different investors and how they went about fixing them. Neely put together a really great line-up of people for this including William Bernstein, David Merkel and Tobias Carlisle to name a few.

The Process of Elimination

I always like to apply the process of elimination when making financial decisions because figuring out what to avoid is where most of the value can be found in a long-term process.

Observations From a Decade in the Investment Business

It was recently brought to my attention that it’s been ten years now since I started my first full-time job in the investment industry. More experienced investors might not think this is a very long time, but it feels like an eternity to me considering my current level of understanding compared to what I knew…